Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000796 0.000908 0.001026 0.001160 0.001308 0.001465 0.001644
2025-02-02 0.000632 0.000790 0.000968 0.001182 0.001433 0.001713 0.002051
2025-02-09 0.000524 0.000698 0.000904 0.001163 0.001476 0.001840 0.002291
2025-02-16 0.000440 0.000621 0.000846 0.001139 0.001505 0.001944 0.002501
2025-02-23 0.000390 0.000580 0.000824 0.001152 0.001574 0.002090 0.002762
2025-03-02 0.000348 0.000543 0.000802 0.001160 0.001633 0.002223 0.003006
2025-03-09 0.000298 0.000490 0.000753 0.001128 0.001635 0.002282 0.003155
2025-03-16 0.000256 0.000442 0.000707 0.001095 0.001632 0.002331 0.003291
2025-03-23 0.000229 0.000414 0.000685 0.001092 0.001668 0.002430 0.003491
2025-03-30 0.000206 0.000389 0.000666 0.001092 0.001705 0.002530 0.003693
2025-04-06 0.000183 0.000363 0.000642 0.001081 0.001726 0.002607 0.003866
2025-04-13 0.000161 0.000335 0.000613 0.001061 0.001732 0.002662 0.004009
2025-04-20 0.000150 0.000325 0.000612 0.001084 0.001802 0.002810 0.004283
2025-04-27 0.000139 0.000314 0.000609 0.001103 0.001865 0.002949 0.004549
2025-05-04 0.000123 0.000291 0.000583 0.001085 0.001872 0.003008 0.004704
2025-05-11 0.000108 0.000268 0.000556 0.001062 0.001871 0.003053 0.004839
2025-05-18 0.000100 0.000258 0.000551 0.001074 0.001923 0.003177 0.005088
2025-05-25 0.000092 0.000248 0.000544 0.001082 0.001968 0.003290 0.005322
2025-06-01 0.000079 0.000226 0.000514 0.001051 0.001950 0.003310 0.005422
2025-06-08 0.000068 0.000206 0.000486 0.001020 0.001930 0.003324 0.005512
2025-06-15 0.000062 0.000196 0.000475 0.001018 0.001956 0.003409 0.005708
2025-06-22 0.000056 0.000186 0.000465 0.001017 0.001984 0.003497 0.005909
2025-06-29 0.000050 0.000175 0.000450 0.001007 0.001996 0.003559 0.006073